[yop_poll id=”8″]
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The overwhelming favorite is clearly Crawford to win but I don’t see it as easily for Crawford. I mean he’s got the tools and has always outperformed and outgunned his opponents. Maybe this fight HAS to happen to see where Spence really is. I mean Spence is good but rather boring with these distance decisions, but Crawford has stopped many opponents in dramatic fashion and even when he does go the distance, it’s exciting. If the fight were to happen in the next 6 months, I pick Crawford by late round stoppage.
Crawford’s competition level is horrible so he gets more KOs, that doesn’t tell us anything
That’s really the question. People are favoring Crawford because we know Crawford is elite level who can make the necessary in fight adjustments to win a fight. We don’t know how well Spence can make in fight adjustments because he just hasn’t had to do it. Similar to the Lomachenko-Lopez fight (which I viewed as a pick em fight), Loma had very lopsided odds because there were certain unanswered questions, and Lopez won that fight clearly. So, I don’t think this is an easy fight at all, but it makes sense to favor Crawford slightly because of what’s known. That being said, I would not be shocked at all if Spence clearly wins the fight.
Spence fights better competition, but he can’t get top guys out of there. Crawford is a ruthless finisher and fights both orthodox and southpaw. He beats Spence if they fight now, but at age 33 he’ll be on the downslide in a year or two. Spence’s team will wait. Too risky in 2021.
I’m not sure Crawford could stop Garcia or Porter either, both of whom are at least a step above the guys Crawford has fought at WW.
Thats definitely a fair point. He may be able to dominate both of them, but neither is an easy guy to get out of there no matter how good you are. Danny takes a great shot and Porter has one of the strongest wills you’ll see in a fighter.
Crawford is a rare talent that wont be beaten in the next few years. Spence people know to stay away from Crawford at least another 3 fights.
So hilarious that people give so much credit to Crawford for beating people at 135/140 yet making him the best Welter in the world. And now apparently Spence can’t ko the best welters in boxing right now yet Crawford hasn’t fought any of them. Let Crawford fight Porter, Mikey Garcia and Danny Garcia first and then we can make a better decision.
Agreed, he is so overrated
He is more underrated B….!
You have a point in that Crawford still has faced limited opposition at Welter, but Crawford has shown an insanely high boxing IQ. Plus, he beat Kell Brook (a guy naturally bigger than him who beat Shawn Porter) much more handily than Spence or even Golovkin. I understand styles make fights, but it’s hard to discount how good Crawford is. I don’t think I’d go as far to say he’s overrated, but that isn’t to say there aren’t some questions that he hasn’t answered.
Crawford wobbled by Gamboa. Hard to erase that when matching him with Spence. Bud is very good BUT @47 he’s gonna be caught out by a PRIME 47pounder.
Gamboa was a big puncher at 135 and TC has showed that he can take a punch at welterweight against Benevidez, Horn, Brook and Kavialoskis.
Gamboa couldn’t hurt any decent welterweight champ in history but managed to hurt Crawford. This tells any serious fight fan that Bud has a chin problem. It’s that simple. If Spence hits him which he will. It’s zzzzzzzzz. Spence will be 160lbs by fight time. Also Buds opponents dont come close to Spence.
Kavialoskis was terrible and still hurt Bud. Horn is laughed at across the planet and a shot Brook landed jabs only. I like Bud but he’s got more to convince me than Spence @47.
If Crawford doesn’t get the fight by May 2021, he has to look elsewhere, just put it behind him. Crawford may get Pacquiao by that date, overseas. If Crawford can’t land Pacquiao or Spence before Summer 2021, or by Summer 2021, it’s time for Top Rank and Golden Boy to work together to put something together for Crawford at 147 or 154 sometime in the 2nd half of 2021. Crawford will be pushing 34 by then.
I have said it before, Crawford’s ring IQ will make the difference. Spence is one dimensional (albeit very good); however, Crawford studies him for 2 maybe 3 rounds then puts the plan in motion. Crawford win’s a unanimous 12 round decision…
I don’t get why Crawford is so favored over Spence Jr. Crawford has been rocked before by a lesser fighter than Spence Jr. A fighter can look dominating fighting overmatched foes. I think Spence Jr. is more battle tested and will defeat Crawford by a UD in a tactical fight that probably won’t live up to ezpectations.
I think the reason he’s so favored is kind of what brapple said above. We know Crawford’s ring IQ is super high and we know he can make in-fight adjustments that most guys can’t make, and these things often separate the very very good from the top. Similar to the Loma-Lopez fight (whose odds were totally out of whack, something like 4-1), people tend to weigh the unknown very heavily. In that fight, which I thought was a pick-em, there were a lot of unanswered questions on Lopez. However, as we saw in that fight, this can cause a huge mispricing as he came in and answered those questions in an overwhelmingly affirmative manner. So, the odds will be skewed toward Crawford all else being equal. It could be with good reason, but it could also be a very good betting opportunity as these “unknowns” can be priced way too high.
In other words, if the “truer” odds are something like 1.2-1 for Crawford (assuming such a thing exists, and we have more definitive answers to some unknowns), I would expect the odds to look something like 2-1 in favor of Crawford at sportsbooks. Like in Loma Lopez fight, these can be great opportunities. In short, I’m giving you the reason as to why these odds are the way they are, but that does not necessarily mean you’re misreading the fight in any way. It’s not an exact science, and it’s also influenced by uninformed decisions of betters.
I like Crawford a lot but I actually see a decline in him already but he is still a beast. I think his legs are getting heavier at his age. In other words I see a slight slowing going on in is movement but Spence didn’t look too good against Garcia in my view even though he dominated. I know he was rusty but he was so off balanced and kept putting all his weight on his front leg which is a sign of an aging fighter regardless of what a fighters age is. I just miss the welters from the 90’s. De La Hoya, Mosley, Trinidad, Quartey, and others were so damn explosive and fast compared to fighters today. I don’t think any of these welters today could have taken a prime Trinidad, Oscar, Quartey, or Mosley punch. Those guys hit with serious power and none of them were natural welters either. They all moved up to welter but I can’t recall if Quartey always fought at welter early in his career. Either way I think we need to realize that the 90’s era of boxing in many weight classes was also a golden era like the 70’s and 80’s.
Crawford would rip him apart.
thats because the Spence fans have yet to see this poll at that point its going to swing to 98% for Spence lol
The ONLY WAY to prove who is dee welter weight king-pin is to fight…they both know that so fight! 2021 hopefully the promoters will come together & allow these two magnificent athletes to battle it out
Why does Crawford get ALL of this hype when he has NOT defeated a top welterweight?
Simply the power of media propaganda. The dupes hear all the time about how great TC is (yet his resume is clearly lacking) so like good little sheeple they repeat it. TC is great, TC is the best, TC is P4P etc.
Astonishing.
Unlike many of the authors on this board I have watched this kid fight since he was all of 65 lbs… if you’ve seen the commitment and drive to achieve a win one at a time, you would understand why I say this kids ring IQ is what makes the difference…
I believe the polls favor Crawford. Well he’s been asking for the fight for 2 to 3 years! So it seems like Spence doesn’t want that fight. Who wins ? 50/50 fight. Spence is naturally bigger and has better fundamentals. Crawford makes the best adjustments and is the ultimate competitor. As far as competition goes its a toss up, the argument can go either way to me. We can say Spence had the better competition, but I would argue who has spence beat that wasn’t already beaten before? Mikey Garcia was just too small period. As far as Crawford goes, Gamboa and Benavidez were unbeaten. Porter seemed to expose Spence, without the knockdown it could have very well been a draw. Who has solved the Crawford puzzle, after 3 rounds he make the best adjustments. Who wins? 50/50 fight in my opinion. But if I had to pick one I would slightly lean towards Crawford